• With Tyreek Hill‘s future on the team uncertain, the Chiefs are VERY LIKELY to spend one or both of their second round selections on wide receivers, if they don’t move up to draft a wide receiver in the second round. Sammy Watkins will line up as the team’s number one wide receiver if Hill doesn’t play for the team in 2019.
  • The Cardinals may trade Josh Rosen to Miami for a second round pick if Yahoo Sports is to be believed, though no deal has been completed. This runs counter to the narrative the Dolphins are “Tanking for Tua” though after Steve Keim drafted first round passers in back to back drafts, Miami could convince their fanbase they can draft a passer in 2020 if Rosen doesn’t win the starting job in a convincing fashion.
  • The Giants Daniel Jones draft selection seems to be a colossal error. Daniel Jones’ best season is measurably about half as good as Dwayne Haskins starting season. The reporter who interviewed Dwayne Haskins after he was selected by Washington mentioned some in the room for Dan Snyder’s Redskins were vocalizing a desire to draft Daniel Jones over Dwayne Haskins. Suggesting this wasn’t a Dave Gettleman specific situation but Jones has some highly desirable traits as a QB prospect. PFF senior analyst noted Jones “does the little things at an NFL level already.”  He goes on to predict Jones will be a top ten selection because Jones “looks like a seasoned veteran” with some of the on-field behaviors (Renner mentions ‘avoiding sacks’ and ‘throwing with anticipation’ as examples of the little things) he’s shown at Duke. Maybe these subtle cues spoke to talent evaluators at an emotional level that numbers cannot. While Dwayne Haskins may not reach the heights he did with Ohio State, an average Dwayne Haskins projects to be a substantially better passer than the best version of Daniel Jones (going off of college production).
  • Sbnation.com’s Dan Kadar correctly points out that Clelin Ferrell played 4-3 defensive end at Clemson, whereas expected draftee Josh Allen lined up as a linebacker which are similar but different positions. Ferrell dominated at Clemson and having a preference for him over Allen because of scheme fit isn’t as crazy as I initially thought. The Raiders other two selections showed no interest in consensus-value drafting as they took a running back in the first round and a safety when prospects like Montez Sweat and Greedy Williams who were top ten value picks on many people’s draft boards were still available.
  • A number of players could potentially be traded after the first round has brought in high level competition for their spot. 49ers DL Solomon Thomas or Jets DL Leonard  Williams may be on the move throughout this draft as teams try to reshape their rosters for 2019.

1 Arizona – Kyler Murray, QB Oklahoma. Would you rather have Jay Cutler and Joey Bosa or Russell Wilson?

2 San Francisco – Nick Bosa, DE Ohio State. I like Quinnen better here, but Bosa will feel safer for John Lynch.

3 New York Jets – Josh Allen, OLB Kentucky. Allen fits the mold of Anthony Barr who the Jets almost signed from Minnesota.

4 Oakland – Quinnen Williams, DT Alabama. Best player available. The Raiders want Devin White. They could say to themselves they got “that guy” in Vontaze Burfict and get more value out of a pass-rusher with Williams if that need has been filled with Burfict.

5 Tampa Bay – Devin White, ILB LSU. White’s perceived value has skyrocketed.  While Tampa Bay needs secondary help, the Kwon Alexander departure may have signified a move to add an inside linebacker as his replacement. White’s generally considered to have ‘top ten value’ where the corners and safeties like Greedy Williams, DeAndre Baker or Nasir Adderley are more rank 15-25 draft value prospects.

6 New York Giants – Ed Oliver, DT Houston. Oliver may not be the next Aaron Donald, he still routinely beats his blocker and will more than replace Olivier Vernon. Dwayne Haskins should be the pick here, but the Giants look like they want to hold out until the 2020 class.

7 Jacksonville – Rashan Gary, DL Michigan. Tom Coughlin won two championships in New York with a front four that could pressure the QB without sending additional blitzers. Jawaan Taylor is the heavy favorite here for the Jaguars in most other mock drafts. Taylor is a run-blocking Right Tackle who’s ceiling, at its very highest doesn’t justify a top-ten selection in any universe. T.J. Hockenson is also very popular here. I struggle to see Jacksonville drafting a Tight End this early. Nick Foles isn’t the identity of the Jaguars, the Defense is. Gary’s a boom-or-bust prospect who will be attractive for Coughlin to move around the D-Line. I would want Jonah Williams here, but I think Tom Coughlin will want Gary at number Seven.

8 Detroit – T.J. Hockenson, TE Iowa. Hockenson can competently block and has demonstrated value as an athletic and reliable pass-catcher. Hockenson can have a Gronk-like impact on the field for Detroit as a dual threat tight end.

9 Buffalo – Christian Wilkins, DL Clemson. Wilkins can take over for Star Lotulelei after the 2020 season, Lotulelei is the highest paid player on the Bills roster with an out after the 2020 season. Lotulelei plays well enough to be a starter but not enough to justify his contract. The Bills starting depth chart has been heavily redone through free agency with four new projected starters on the offensive line, new offensive weapons in John Brown, Tyler Kroft and Frank Gore. Bringing in Wilkins will free up cap space in the future for Buffalo and start alongside Lotulelei in the mean time.

10 Denver – Drew Lock, Missouri QB. John Elway seems to like Lock more than any other QB prospect and he’s still running the show. The Broncos are actually a pretty complete roster with holes at maybe tight end and safety.

11 Bengals – Devin Bush, Michigan ILB. The Bengals are stable on offense but have an aging defense. Dwayne Haskins is being mocked here, but Andy Dalton is still performing better than the majority of first round QBs drafted year after year. Bush can contribute immediately.

12 Green Bay – Montez Sweat,  Miss. State OLB. Sweat has a sky-high ceiling with improving college production throughout his time in school. If Sweat actually falls this far the Packers they can get a value pick.

13 Miami – Jonah Williams, Alabama OL. Williams is a top ten athlete in this draft class. If Miami really wants to embrace the tank, building on the offensive will set up their future QB for success.

14 Atlanta – Clelin Ferrell, Clemson DL. Beasley struggled last season and Atlanta’s defense overall struggled with injuries in the secondary. Ferrell has a tops resume after consistently pressuring the QB. Ferrell has the size to be able to move inside if McKinley moves outside.

15 Washington – Dwayne Haskins, Ohio State QB. If Haskins is available here Washington has to strongly consider drafting Alex Smith’s replacement. Bruce Allen has been drafting defensive talent early as of late, Haskins had a phenomenal season with Ohio State and may be the closest the Redskins get to a heir apparent passer for some time depending on how the 2019 season plays out.

16 Carolina – Jawaan Taylor, UF OT. Taylor fits the Panthers identity as a successful run blocker. He is an adequate pass-blocker as well.

17 New York Giants – Daniel Jones, Duke QB. I don’t like Daniel Jones being drafted in the first round, but supposedly the Giants are high on Jones. Talent evaluators have discussed his height and college coach as reasons why Jones can compete at the next level.

18 Minnesota – Jerry Tillery, Notre Dame DT. The Vikings keep whiffing on early round offensive linemen. Dexter Lawrence has the build of a talent on a 3-man down scheme. Tillery graded well in Pro Football Focus. I think he’ll fit right in on a elite Vikings Defense.

19 Tennessee – Noah Fant, Iowa TE. Delanie Walker is 8,000 years old. Fant can mismatch against linebackers that Mariota can use.

20 Pittsburgh – Greedy Williams, LSU CB. The Steelers secondary needs help. Greedy is a tops coverage man.

21 Seattle – Byron Murphy, Washington CB. Seattle could use an offensive lineman like Cody Ford. Pete Carroll likes defensive backs.

22 Baltimore – A.J. Brown, Ole Miss WR. The Ravens don’t pass a ton, but Brown does an excellent job at getting open and making yards after the catch. The Ravens have NO receivers.

23 Houston – Cody Ford, Oklahoma OL. The Texans still have a bad offensive line. Deshaun Watson needs an offensive line.

24 Oakland – Deandre Baker, Georgia CB. Baker is the most reliable corner prospect in this class. Gruden loves building out the defense.

25 Philadelphia – Andre Dillard, Washington State OT. Jason Peters is 37 years old and not competing at the same level as he once was. Dillard is an elite pass blocking prospect.

26 Indianapolis – Marquise Brown, OU WR. Brown is arguably the best wide receiver in the class. Andrew Luck deserves a real wide receiver.

27 Oakland – Brian Burns, Edge FSU. Gruden is an analytics guy and I don’t buy that he’ll draft a first round running back. Burns helps the Raiders anemic pass defense.

28 Chargers – Dalton Risner, Kansas State OL. The Chargers need help at inside linebacker and offensive line. Risner can play at right tackle in 2019.

29 Seattle (LOL) – Jeffery Simmons, Miss. State DL. Simmons won’t play in 2019, but he has the potential to be a top five player when he gets healthy. Seattle didn’t necessarily plan on having this pick, so they could take this opportunity to draft for talent over need.

30 Green Bay – Parris Campbell, Ohio State WR. Campbell moved well at the combine and caught 90 passes at Ohio State. Campbell fits the mold for speedy, productive wide receivers the Packers have liked to draft.

31 Rams – Dexter Lawrence, DT Clemson. The Rams could draft a tackle to eventually replace Andrew Whitworth. Lawrence can help fill the void left by Ndamukong Suh.

32 New England – Will Grier, WVU QB. Ageless Tom Brady can’t play forever. Grier had a poor Senior Bowl performance but was consistently competitive throughout his college career. Bill Connelly gave Grier good marks in his “success rate” metric for ranking a QB in terms for advancing on 3rd downs and making plays when they count.

U. of Minnesota Safety, Jacob Huff – Huff excelled as both a run-stop safety and in pass coverage, grading out in the top ten of both categories according to ProFootballFocus.com. His playing weight is 210 at the University of Minnesota, so Huff wouldn’t have to bulk up for the NFL. Huff batted down 7 passes, intercepted 2 passes, and forced 2 fumbles during his senior season. Overall Huff performed well throughout the season. During his 13 game senior season, Jacob Huff as the leader of the Minnesota Golden Gophers defense allowed a QBR (score out of max 100) of 54.64 between the 13 starting QBs he faced. That score ranks between Mason Fine of North Texas (#73/128) and Desmond Ridder of Cincinnati (#74/128). Huff faced some serious high level QB talent in first rounder Dwayne Haskins (OSU), Nate Stanley (Iowa), Adrian Martinez (Nebraska), and David Blough (Purdue) throughout the season. I contend Huff performed at a high level on a defense without tons of high level talent around him unlike, say,  safety Taylor Rapp at Washington who functioned as part of an elite defense or Deionte Thompson who played for the fearsome Crimson Tide Defense.

Penn State QB, Trace McSorley – McSorley had a nightmare senior season, completing 53% of his passes and a career low 7.0 (counting full time starter seasons) yards per attempt. In fairness to McSorley, Penn State lost starters Mike Gesicki (Tight End), Daesean Hamilton (wide receiver), and pass-catching fiend Saquon Barkley to the NFL. McSorley also had the #1 drop rate (10%) of receivers in division one college football. If we give McSorley an average drop rate (4%) instead, his completion percentage looks like 59%, which while still a far cry from the 66% he posted in his junior season, is much more forgivable than 53%. McSorley is extremely productive as a runner with over 700 yards rushing and 12 rushing touchdowns (career highs). Against THE Ohio State University, McSorley only completed half of his passes (16/32), for two touchdowns (0 INT), but roasted the Buckeyes defense for 175 yards on the ground with 25 carries. While McSorley likely will need an offense that’s maybe more QB-friendly (Chargers, Giants) but has the deep ball (PFF ranking of 10/53 eligible QBs in average depth of target, how deep a receiver is on the field when pass is thrown) and athleticism to be worth the gamble of a 4-6 round selection.

Utah State RB, Darwin Thompson – The 5’8″ 200-lber averaged 6.9 yards a carry at Utah State. Thompson’s low center of gravity can actually be an asset if we go back and look at the successful careers of Warrick Dunn and Maurice Jones-Drew. Thompson created substantial yards after the carry. Thompson forced 48 missed tackles on 151 handoffs, (PFF.com’s NFL draft guide, subscription required). So on just under one third of Thompson’s carries, he forced a missed tackle. Running backs are undervalued by the nature of playing a in pass-friendly league, and Darwin Thompson who didn’t even get a  combine invite will likely go overlooked in favor of large edge rushers and slot receivers. Thompson didn’t play at a larger program but has shown about as much as a running back can show in order to be a strong NFL prospect.

Northern Illinois EDGE, Sutton Smith – The undersized small school prospect excelled at both stopping the run and pressuring opposing quarterbacks (Top 25% ranking in run-stop percentage and pressures generated according to PFF.com NFL draft report). Smith showed up at the combine weighing in at 233 and ran an unconvincing 4.69 40 for a smaller pass-rusher. Smith may have to get his start on an NFL squad as a special teams contributor. Where Sutton Smith does show up is actual, real football. He sacked the ultra-athletic Utah QB Tyler Huntley twice in a performance where Northern Illinois was over-matched talent-wise and coaching-wise. 230-lb Sutton Smith sacked 6’7″, 245-lb Tyree Jackson twice in the MAC championship game. He can clearly compete against high level athletes despite his size and sub-par 40 time. Smith’s performance at Northern Illinois is no guarantee of success at the NFL level, but his ability to perform at a fundamental level against “better” talent suggests he can do the same at the pro level.

San Diego State WR, Fred Trevillion – Trevillion’s sample size at SDSU is smaller (22 catches, 598 yards, 27.2 yards per catch, 3 TDs) but he shows clear promise as a deep threat receiver in the vein of Brandin Cooks or Josh Gordon. Trevillion stands at 6’2″ but weighed in at 182 on his pro day, so he may struggle with strong press coverage. For those who value the 40 time, Trevillion ran a low-4.4 40 at his pro day (according to draftanalyst.com).  With the success of slot receivers in New England, more teams may be looking for a slot receiver, Trevillion didn’t make a name for himself as a slot receiver at SDCCU Stadium. In a pass-heavy offense, like in New Orleans, Kansas City, or Chicago Trevillion can be an extremely valuable deep threat as a mid to late round player.

 

 

Here’s what we know:

  • The Giants are clearly still a bad team even with Odell Beckham on the roster.
  • Championship teams don’t use superstar wide receivers to win (Patriots, Eagles, Seahawks, Broncos)
  • Odell Beckham’s blue-chip talent is being wasted away on an offense that uses the short-middle passing game, which he himself acknowledged during the 2018 season
  • The Giants need to find an elite QB in order to become relevant again. Elite QBs don’t need elite wide receivers to thrive. Tom Brady, Peyton Manning, Baker Mayfield, Phillip Rivers, Andrew Luck all performed consistently without stud wide receivers.

The Giants would not have gotten the value that a first, a third and safety Jabrill Peppers will give them if Beckham remained on the roster. Odell would have been an elite receiver stuck on a team that is either bad or otherwise doesn’t properly utilize him, like Larry Fitzgerald with the Cardinals. With two first round picks, the Giants can try to trade up for Kyler Murray if they feel the need, or more likely will try to trade back and set themselves up for a juicy 2020 QB draft class with Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa and Georgia QB Jake Fromm becoming draft eligible.

Counter argument: “Dave, the Giants should restructure their offense to take advantage of what Beckham does well, not trade him.”

That’s certainly a move teams have made in the past. If the player is talented enough, the coach might says: “Let’s change up our scheme to maximize what we can get out of this player.”  Former Denver OC Mike McCoy famously did this with the Broncos during the Tim Tebow glory days. (Though that move more revolved around having Tebow do less of what he was bad at than doing more of what he’s great at.) This might actually work if the Giants were rolling with Dwayne Haskins or Josh Rosen at QB. At thirty-eight years old, Eli Manning is not likely to be the best fit for a downfield passing attack. You could then point the finger at the Giants’ front office for not having an appropriate successor to the QB crown (which I agree is a fair criticism). Dak Prescott fell to round three and became the starter for division foe Dallas while the Giants drafted poor team fits like Eli Apple and Davis Webb to build their roster. But that’s not the situation that’s happening now. Right now, in 2019, with a west coast style passing attack and a thirty eight year old quarterback, converting a powerful deep-threat receiver into precious draft capital is better long-term move considering the Giants waited three years too late to find a replacement at Quarterback.

The Giants did right by Odell by releasing him from Football Prison onto a roster with a competent QB and a real shot at the playoffs. Beckham repeatedly showed frustration with the outcome of the 2018 season after going from 11-5 in ’16 to 3-13 in ’17 with largely the same roster. The Giants were no longer using him for what made him famous-setting him up to burn defenders deep downfield.

The Browns on the other hand desperately needed a “true number one” receiver, or rather just a receiver who will reliably catch the football. Plus, Baker has a deep ball for years that will outlast Odell’s ability to catch deep balls.

No one likes to see the best player on their team get traded away. Raiders fans raged through the night as Khalil Mack was shipped off for two first round picks. Watching your team win five games a year with a couple of superstars on each side of the ball may be appealing to some, but general managers want to give their teams a chance to consistently compete every season, which the Giants did not have at the start of 2018, and are closer to now.

“Is Josh Rosen our quarterback? Yeah, he is, right now, for sure,” Keim said.” (Kevin Patra, NFL.com)

I thought only of this exchange:

Person: “Hey babe, do you love me?”

Significant Other: “Yeah I do. For right now. LOL”

The most benevolent (to Steve Keim) explanation for this quote from Keim is that it’s a smokescreen from the Cardinals GM to provoke trade offers from potential QB-needy teams lower in the draft. The surface-level interpretation of the quote could mean Rosen will soon be replaced come April.

Murray’s a much more complete passer than Rosen stats-wise (Rosen’s 2017 vs Murray’s 2018) while competing against at LEAST as difficult a schedule in the Big 12 than Rosen in the Pac-12. Personally, I believe the Cardinals storyline makes little sense to hire Kliff Kingsbury and hold on to Josh Rosen when Kyler Murray is openly available, but then, at one point it almost made sense for the Cowboys to draft Johnny Manziel instead of Zack Martin. If the Cardinals roll the dice on Murray at One overall, the first handful of picks may look like this:

  1. Arizona – Kyler Murray
  2. San Francisco – Quinnen Williams (SF has two first rounders starting at Edge right now)
  3. Oakland (Trade with Jets) – Nick Bosa (Oakland has the league’s worst pass rush)
  4.  New York Jets – Josh Allen (Allen plays at outside linebacker and is a better scheme fit for what Jets are doing.
  5. Tampa Bay – Andre Dillard – Getting a left tackle who can pass-block is pretty damn important. Jawaan Taylor, Jonah Williams and Greg Little are sexy tackles when it comes to measurables, but Dillard grades out at the best pass-protecting tackle in the top group of college tackles according to the nerds at PFF.  Washington State throws the ball a ton and Dillard performed well during his time there.
  6. New York Giants – Dwayne Haskins – There is zero need to overthink this. The Giants should have drafted a QB three years ago.
  7. Jacksonville – Ed Oliver – Maybe the Jaguars sign Nick Foles, or trade for Josh Rosen. As much of as need they have here, Oliver is a really JUICY prospect and the Jags don’t need to reach for Daniel Jones here.
  8. Detroit – Rashan Gary – Admittedly a copout selection Gary could hypothetically play Tackle or End for Detroit depending on if DaShawn Hand works out as Ansah’s replacement or not. Gary’s been praised for his inconsistent if awe-inspiring athleticism for a 280-lb human being.
  9. Buffalo – Christian Wilkins – The Bills are paying enormous sums of money to Star Lotulelei to be an okay defensive tackle. Wilkins has demonstrated effectiveness to stop the run and consistently pressure the quarterback.
  10. Denver – Greedy Williams – Denver may draft a passer but has the luxury of waiting for a deeper class in 2020 with Tua Tagovailoa and Jake Fromm who will be draft eligible.

Just like my post-college life, that mock draft spiraled out of control pretty damn fast. It also leaves many questions unanswered. Who would the Cardinals trade Josh Rosen to? Will the Jaguars ACTUALLY sign N̶a̶p̶o̶l̶e̶o̶n̶ ̶D̶y̶n̶a̶m̶i̶t̶e̶ Nick Foles to a fat contract only to see him turn into the 2018 version of Case Keenum? If the Cardinals don’t draft Murray, how far would he drop? How could Steve Keim look at this face and not envision the future of his franchise?josh-rosen

Find out the answer to all of these questions and MORE on the next episode of NFL Football (now with 29% fewer concussions).

 

Today’s song: Wonder by Adventure Club featuring The Kite String Tangle

 

Texans coach Bill O’Brien has had only one losing season in his five years as head coach in the NFL. Good for him. He also has a 1-3 playoff record including a 7-21 loss to the ragtag Indianapolis Colts (AT HOME). The Colts leaned on castoffs like Eric Ebron, Margus Hunt and Pierre Desir who underperformed at their old teams and thrived in their roles in Indianapolis. The Colts don’t have a strong ground game. They don’t have a true number two wide receiver. They have a rookie head coach.

O’Brien has a career coaching record of 42-38 (.525). For reference, Jim Harbaugh has an NFL coaching record of 44-19-1 (.695) and Wade Phillips (Rams DC) 82-64 (.562). The real measuring stick here for O’Brien isn’t his regular season record. It’s postseason success. The Texans have a slew of star players on both sides of the ball. Beating the Colts at home should be a cake walk for this organization.

2019 won’t get any easier for Houston. While the Jaguars are no longer a threat, the Titans arguably improved from last year going 9-7 on a cupcake schedule to 9-7 this season a schedule that’s more middle of the road. The Colts are obviously back on track as well. The Texans won the AFC South but that doesn’t mean a thing if they get knocked out by their baby brother in the wild card match-up. O’Brien was hand picked by former Texans GM Rick Smith, so Brian Gaine, Smith’s replacement may decide to bring in a face he feels is a better fit for his vision of the team. Firing a head coach after a 12-4 season may seem questionable on the surface, but O’Brien is 1-3 in the postseason and has one of the more talented rosters available. Bill O’Brien is shaping up to be the 2018 version of Jeff Fisher with a barely above 500 record.

Young names like Kliff Kingsbury or Lincoln Riley may be more available than previously let on if the price is right.

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Another team was scheduled to play the Playoff Nick Foles Eagles’ this season. Although I will say this may have been a closer match-up than it at first appeared as Chicago had one of the softest schedules in the NFL. Defending the Matt Nagy/Trubisky duo didn’t seem to be too tough for the Eagles’ severely injured secondary. Thirty-five year old Darren Sproles will be healthy to face his former team in New Orleans next week. A rematch of a game that saw the Saints dropping a forty-burger and only allowing one score against Philly. Logic would dictate that Drew Brees and Sean Payton should win this contest by just doing their Saints thing. But Logic has not been in the building for some time now and my undying need to doubt Nick Foles only seems to make him stronger. 

If you watched football in the 2000s you’ll remember Chargers/Patriots games involving overly talented Chargers teams losing to old man Troy Brown on freak-accident fumble recovery plays. We have another Chargers/Patriots game with two QBs who are salty and mentally unhinged in their own special way.

Take care of yourself. I love you.

1 – DEN (TRADE from AZ) – Dwayne Haskins, OSU QB – The Cardinals are not close to being playoff ready. Nick Bosa is the pick here if they stand pat at One, but I’m willing to bet one of the QB needy teams (Miami, Jax, Denver) will try to move up for a passer. Denver is actually close to being competitive so trading away future draft capital won’t hurt as bad as their roster is relatively competitive if you ignore the QB position. Haskins’ stock is at peak levels right now

2 – SF – Nick Bosa, OSU DE – This is obviously a dream selection for San Francisco. Josh Allen or Quinnen Williams are natural fits here if Bosa is not available.

3 – NYJ – Quinnen Williams, Alabama DL – The Jets run a three man front and wont benefit from Josh Allen’s skills like other teams might.  The Jets could trade down and take a franchise left tackle.

4 – OAK – Josh Allen, Kentucky Edge – The Raiders have the worst pass rush in football. This class is not QB heavy, so I believe the Raiders will take a passer in round two if at all.

5 – DET – Rashan Gary, Michigan DL – Detroit will not likely retain the services of Ziggy Ansah, at least not at full MSRP. The Lions need receiving options and help at defensive back. Bob Quinn would be foolish to allow Gary to leave the state. Gary is extremely disruptive against the pass and will be more consistent than Ansah.

6 – NYG – Justin Herbert, Oregon QB – The Giants need help on the offensive line, but I can’t imagine them not drafting a QB again. 

7 – BUF – Ed Oliver, Houston DT – Oliver routinely penetrated the pocket for Houston. Brandon Beane actually already has a competitive defense in Buffalo and can put Oliver in for Trent Murphy who has an out in his contract this off-season.

8 – TB – DeAndre Baker, Georgia CB – The Buccaneers were regularly made an example of by opposing defenses this throughout the season. Baker, while not a HUGE corner, has been dominant against Alabama and other top shelf college talent.

9 – JAX – Clelin Ferrell, Clemson DE – The Jaguars obviously didn’t see value in retaining Dante Fowler’s services. Jacksonville has a booming need at QB, but unless they fall in love with Drew Lock or Daniel Jones I believe they will wait later in the draft to address the position.

10 – CAR – Jonah Williams, Alabama OT – Carolina’s decline this season was accompanied by Cam Newton’s apparently untreated shoulder injury.  They could probably use some help blocking for their All-World Super QB.

11 – ATL – Greedy Williams, LSU CB – Atlanta has a structurally sound roster but got particularly dinged by injuries early in the season. Greedy is a tall-a** corner who should be better able to hang with Mike Evans and Michael Thomas who like to bully the ATL secondary.

12 – AZ (From DEN) – Greg Little, Ole Miss OT – The Cardinals offensive line really struggled to protect Josh Rosen this season. Trading with Denver will allow them to net a starter at a position of need from this round and receive an additional first rounder next season.

13 – CIN – Jeffery Simmons, Miss. State DT, – Geno Atkins needs some help on that defensive line pressuring the QB. It would be very reasonable for the Bengals to go offensive line here with Dalton Risner here as well.

14 – GB – Deionte Thompson, Alabama FS – The Packers defense allowed three air TDs to Sam Darnold who has looked awful for most of the season as a passer.

15 – MIA – Will Grier, WVU QB – The Tannehill era is over. Grier’s been consistently high performing through his college career, especially in 2018.

16 – WAS – Drew Lock, Mizzou QB – I was originally going to not mock a QB for this position, but Alex Smith is not even a lock to return next season. Drew’s not been perfectly accurate, but he checks every other box for a QB to succeed at the next level. Smith knew all along he wasn’t the long term answer anyway.

17 – CLE – Dalton Risner, Kansas State OT – The Browns don’t have an answer long term at left tackle. They could sure use some wide receiver help, but Greg Robinson starting at left tackle should be deeply concerning for a team with a young, promising QB. RIP Sam Bradford.

18 – PHI – Byron Murphy, Washington CB – The Eagles have been absolutely torched in the secondary this season. They need help in the ground game and at left tackle as well.

19 – PIT – Devin White, LSU MLB – The Steelers need help at corner. Drafting at nineteen means they won’t get their top picks. White will help the team cope with the still-felt effects of Ryan Shazier not being available.

20 – TEN – Zach Allen, BC OLB – Former teammates with current Titan Harold Landry, Allen’s shown value as an all-around disruptor with fifteen stops for a loss at Boston College. Tennessee’s GM Jon Robinson has New England Patriots history and will continue to have an east coast bias.