Week 17 picks

Posted: December 27, 2019 in Football, New entries, NFL

TB at ATL – Tampa Bay. Both the Falcons and the Bucs are 5-2 over their last seven games, an impressive turnaround for two dumpster-tier teams in the first half of the season. Tampa won game 1 in Atlanta and will be motivated to show they’re improving after a 7-9 2018 season. Tampa has home field advantage, they won game 1, and they have more reason to “win” this game than the Falcons. I also like Bruce Arians as an in game play-caller more than Quinn.

Miami at New England – New England. If Tom starts, the Patriots win at home.

Chicago at Minnesota – Minnesota

LAC at Kansas City – Kansas City

Green Bay at Detroit – Green Bay. Detroit actually got robbed by some bad refereeing in their first matchup, so this might actually be an interesting game. The Packers are just a much more stable team than Detroit.

Cleveland at Cincinnati – Cleveland. The browns have the best running back going up against the worst run defense in football.

New Orleans at Carolina – New Orleans. Another Will Grier game.

Jets at Buffalo – Buffalo. Neither of these teams “NEED” this win. Buffalo’s still more talented and playing better defense. At home.

Arizona at Rams – Rams. The Rams now have to ensure their first round picks remain low to justify their Jalen Ramsey trade. Sean McVay is a top coach and wins more than he loses, even after a rough missed playoffs season.

Oakland at Denver – Oakland. Drew Lock has posted one crazy strong performance against Houston and three bad or worse performances against the Chargers, Chiefs, and Lions. The Raiders have an outside chance to be a six seed if they win this game. I’m betting Denver won’t be able to get Drew Lock going this week, and Oakland will 2-0 Denver this year.

Philadelphia at Giants – Philadelphia. The Giants have zero defense. Doug Pederson just has to beat the Giants for the NFC East crown.

IND at JAX – Indianapolis. The Jaguars have a bottom five rushing defense, the Colts bread and butter. Gardner Minshew has played very unbalanced football since his benching for Nick Foles.

Tennessee at Houston. Houston. The king of ugly wins, Bill O’Brien beat a competitive Titans team in Nashville earlier this year. The Titans look a little better on paper but have lost two more games than Houston.

Washington at Dallas – Dallas. The Cowboys tend to play their worst on the road. Washington is also VERY BAD at football this year.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore – Pittsburgh. Lamar Jackson will not be playing. But Steelers HC Mike Tomlin will still be coaching week 17.

San Francisco at Seattle – SAN FRANCISCO. I am too biased and cannot be trusted. F*** THEM BIRDS

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